{"id":8144,"date":"2021-04-19T13:23:16","date_gmt":"2021-04-19T11:23:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/boklima.de\/?p=8144"},"modified":"2021-04-19T13:23:17","modified_gmt":"2021-04-19T11:23:17","slug":"szenario-unter-1-5c-zu-bleiben-studio-heinrich-boell-stiftung","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/?p=8144","title":{"rendered":"Szenario unter 1.5C zu bleiben (Studio Heinrich B\u00f6ll Stiftung)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

( Original und Link zur Studie in Englisch : hier<\/a> )<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Heinrich B\u00f6ll Stiftung
PUBLICATION SERIES ECONOMIC + SOCIAL ISSUES

VOLUME 23A <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Societal Transformation Scenario for Staying Below 1.5\u00b0C<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

A study by Kai Kuhnhenn, Luis Costa, Eva Mahnke, Linda Schneider, Steffen LangeEdited

of the Publication Series Economic & Social Issues Edited by the Heinrich B\u00f6ll Foundation and Konzeptwerk
Neue \u00d6konomie<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neue \u00d6konomie 2020
Proofreading: Anne Wegner
Layout and design: feinkost Designnetzwerk, S. Langer
(predesigned by blotto design)

Printing: ARNOLD group, Gro\u00dfbeeren Cover photo: Cristofer Jeschke (\u2013 unsplash)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This publication can be downloaded from:
www.boell.de
Published under the following Creative Commons License:
http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/3.0 .
Attribution \u2013 You must attribute the workin the manner specified by the author or licensor (but not in any way that suggests that they endorse you or youruse of the work). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Noncommercial \u2013 You may not use this work for commercial purposes. No derivatives \u2013 If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Authors<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Kai Kuhnhenn <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

has worked with Konzeptwerk Neue \u00d6konomie e.V. for seven years. Previously he worked with the Federal Environment Agency (UBA) in the field of energy and climate, focussing on policy evaluation, sufficiency measures and reviewing IPCC reports, for more than eight years.Luis Costa is an engineer turned researcher interested in the topics of climate impacts and the elab-oration of open energy models \u2013 in particular considering the effect of changing lifestyles. Luis grad-uated with a Diploma degree in Environmental Engineering from Universidade de Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes e Alto Douro (2006) and received his PhD from the University of Greifswald (2013). Eva Mahnke works as a freelancer in communication and public relations, focusing on climate pol-icy, degrowth and issues of sustainability. Previously she worked as a journalist on climate policy. Eva has an academic background in ethics, economy and political sciences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Linda Schneider <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

is Senior Programme Officer for International Climate Policy at the Heinrich Boell Foundation in Berlin. Her work focusses on false solutions in climate and biodiversity. She is also an activist in the climate justice movement and the Right to the City movement in Berlin. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Steffen Lange <\/h5>\n\n\n\n

is a researcher at the Institute for Ecological Economy Research (I\u00d6W), affili-ated scholar of the Resource Economics Group at the Humboldt University Berlin and associated researcher at the Department of Social-Ecological Transformation at the Technical University Berlin. His research focuses on digital transformation, the relationship between economic growth and envi-ronmental throughput, rebound effects and concepts for sustainable economies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

CONTENT<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Foreword 7
Abstract 9<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1 Why we need a Societal Transformation Scenario 11
2 The bias towards growth and technology fixes in most climate scenarios 15
3 Scenario philosophy: key premises 20
4 Methodology 23
Comparison of Integrated Assessment Models and the Global Calculator 27<\/p>\n\n\n\n

5 The Societal Transformation Scenario (STS) 30
5.1 Selection criteria for consumption parameters 32
5.2 Road-based passenger transport 34
5.3 Passenger Aviation 39
5.4 Ground freight transport 43
5.5 Housing 47
5.6 Food Sector: Sustainable diets and ruminant meat 50
5.7 Land use changes and CO2 sequestration 54
5.8 Technology, agriculture and land use parameters 56<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6 Scenario results 58<\/p>\n\n\n\n

7 The Societal Transformation Scenario \u2013
sketches of a different tomorrow 66<\/p>\n\n\n\n

8 Conclusion 75<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Annex 1 \u2013 Assumptions in the model 76<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Annex 2 \u2013 On CO2 sequestration through ecosystem-based approaches and the fallacy of \u00abnet-zero\u00bb 92<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

( Original und Link zur Studie in Englisch : hier ) Heinrich B\u00f6ll Stiftung PUBLICATION SERIES ECONOMIC + SOCIAL ISSUES VOLUME 23A Societal Transformation Scenario for Staying Below 1.5\u00b0C A study by Kai Kuhnhenn, Luis Costa, Eva Mahnke, Linda Schneider, Steffen LangeEdited of the Publication Series Economic & Social Issues Edited by the Heinrich B\u00f6ll […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[157,104],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8144","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-relevant-klimanews","category-oeffentlich-fuer-alle-site-besucher-lesbar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8144","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8144"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8144\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8146,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8144\/revisions\/8146"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8144"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8144"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/work.boklima.de\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8144"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}